Apr 30, 2025
Generating Incremental Growth from Geo-Based Expansion in Startup Banking
Marketing Analytics
A/B Testing
Demand Generation
Paid Media Measurement
Impact at a Glance
+97.8% web traffic growth in Miami
+94.4% web traffic growth in Austin
+114.3% web traffic growth in Seattle
First working offline → online attribution model deployed within the Startup Banking division
Out-of-home advertising proven as a measurable acquisition channel, not just brand awareness
National expansion budget approved using experimental proof
Repeatable geo-expansion measurement framework created for future market launches
All results were validated through a controlled geo-experiment with a matched digital-only control market.
Situation
Startup Banking was well established in its core markets (San Francisco, Silicon Valley, New York, Los Angeles, and Boston). However, startup formation was accelerating in emerging tech hubs such as Miami and Austin, where brand awareness and inbound demand were materially weaker.
At the same time:
Offline advertising had never been causally measured
Digital acquisition performance varied widely by region
Expansion decisions relied heavily on intuition rather than verified ROI
Leadership viewed out-of-home (OOH) primarily as a brand channel, not a growth driver
Before allocating national expansion budgets, leadership needed defensible proof that new market investment could drive real, incremental demand.
The Task
Design and validate a data-backed geographic expansion experiment that could:
Prove whether offline advertising produced incremental digital growth
Isolate true lift from background digital traffic
Measure lead quality, not just top-of-funnel volume
Provide finance-grade evidence to support national expansion budgets
This required a controlled market-level experiment, not a one-off campaign.
What I Did
As Lead Marketing Analytics, I owned the end-to-end experimental design, measurement architecture, and causal validation.
1. Designed the Geo-Experimental Framework
Selected Austin and Miami as test markets
Chose Seattle as the digital-only control market
All markets received baseline geo-targeted digital advertising
Only test markets received incremental billboard exposure
This structure isolated offline advertising as the independent variable.
2. Built Offline → Online Attribution
Implemented QR-based attribution from billboards to landing pages
Created geo-specific landing pages featuring local banker teams
Connected web behavior directly to CRM lead records and downstream funnel stages
This converted offline impressions into trackable acquisition inputs.


3. Established Incrementality & Lift Measurement
Pre-test vs. post-test market baselines
Digital-only control benchmarking
Market-level incrementality modeling
Lead-quality vs. traffic-inflation analysis
This ensured all reported gains represented causal lift, not correlation.
4. Delivered Executive-Grade Decision Reporting
Market-level performance dashboards
Incremental lift and halo-effect analysis
Budget reallocation recommendations for leadership
I did not simply analyze a campaign—I designed the system that proved whether it worked.
Business Impact Results
Miami: +97.8% increase in web traffic
Austin: +94.4% increase in web traffic
Offline advertising directly increased digital response rates
QR-enabled billboards generated trackable, qualified leads for the first time
Offline exposure created a measurable halo effect on paid digital efficiency
National out-of-home expansion budget approved based on experimental results
Geo-incrementality framework adopted for future market launches
Offline advertising was formally reclassified from brand spend to a performance-supported growth channel.
Strategic Significance
This work transformed geographic expansion from a high-risk marketing gamble into a repeatable, data-backed growth system:
Offline and digital were unified into a single acquisition model
Expansion decisions shifted from intuition to causal validation
Market launches became scalable and lower-risk
Leadership gained confidence in expanding beyond legacy hubs
Skills Demonstrated
Growth experimentation & A/B testing
Geo-based incrementality modeling
Offline-to-online attribution
Funnel performance and lead-quality analysis
Causal inference for marketing decisions
Executive growth reporting & budget justification
Founder & Hiring Manager Takeaway
This case study shows my ability to:
Design experiments that withstand executive and finance scrutiny
Prove what actually drives growth, not just report dashboards
Turn brand channels into measurable revenue contributors
Build repeatable systems for national market expansion
Reduce expansion risk through controlled experimentation
If you are scaling into new markets and need defensible growth measurement across offline and digital channels, this is the exact infrastructure I build end-to-end.

